Regular Season Win Totals Pick: Cincinnati OVR 6.5

Cincinnati OVR 6.5 @ -130.

While I don’t like giving up -130, I think the Bearcats are a shoe-in to cover 6.5. Cincinnati finished 7-5 last season despite having a net -19 turnovers…the 3rd highest negative turnover margin in CFB.

I’m counting on Cincy to reverse the turnover trend in 2016. The Bearkats also return their QB, Gunner Kiel, as well as eight starters on defense.

Let’s take a quick look at the Bearcats schedule:

W – UT Martin
T – @Purdue
L – Houston
W- Miami, OH
T – USF
W – @U Conn
W – East Carolina
T -@Temple
T – BYU
W – @UCF
T – Memphis
W – @Tulsa

That’s 6 wins, 5 Toss Ups, and 1 Loss.

If Cincy is able to split the “Toss Up” games, they will easily cover the 6.5 Win Total, and even have room for a mulligan or two. I would not be surprised if Cincinnati won double digit games this season.